Hurricane Eta has slowly churned through Central America this week, flooding homes, collapsing buildings and leaving at least 57 people dead, according to reports. During most years, hurricane activity would have long since waned by now. But in 2020, with about a month left of the official hurricane season, forecasters anticipate even more storms to form.
California is burning, a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 150 mph just blasted into the Louisiana coast, and nearly 180,000 are reported dead from a viral outbreak that is just a harbinger of what one scientist calls “a new pandemic era” driven in part by our changing climate and wanton destruction of ecosystems. While there are positive indicators that people are waking up to the growing threat of climate change, a much greater pace and scale of climate action is needed to stave off its worst effects. Riskthinking.ai provides clients with forward-looking scenarios tools that render a deeper understanding of the true cost of climate risk, in order to drive timely decision-making.
Extreme weather fuelled by climate change is on the rise- and so are the associated costs. In the last 40 years, 663 disasters linked to climate change in the United States killed 14,223 people. The total cost: an estimated $1.77 trillion, a bit more than Canada’s Gross National Product in 2018.
Meteorologists are anticipating the remainder of the hurricane season to be extremely active with an unprecedented number (25) of named storms in the forecast; a climate risk factor that threatens coastal communities across the US.
As scientists’ predictions of a climate emergency grow more urgent- and frankly bleak- the world would do well to heed their warnings. Yet it is always difficult to plan for futures that differ substantially from the recent past, and this is where a presentation of multiple future scenarios – underpinned by the latest climate science and wisdom of experts- can be tremendously useful. This is what riskthinking.AI offers
Hurricanes have become stronger worldwide during the past four decades, an analysis of observational data shows, supporting what theory and computer models have long suggested: climate change is making these storms more intense and destructive.
As floodwaters regularly rise in southeast Louisiana, so do the costs to protect communities. Understanding the true costs of climate risks like sea level rise, and greater frequency of floods and hurricanes, will inform better decision-making by residents and policy makers alike.
Hurricanes are becoming more frequent, and the season is lasting longer each year. With an increasingly warm ocean, hurricanes can spin with more devastating energy and carry more moisture to flood coastal cities. Climate change might be having an additional, unexpected effect on hurricanes: they’re moving north, bound increasingly often for northern New England rather than the mid-Atlantic states. Hurricanes are on the move, and they’re headed for Boston.