While the role of the climate crisis in Cyclone Idai is still not fully known, experts believe there are links to rising sea-surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean. “We are getting a much higher frequency of high-intensity storms,” says Jennifer Fitchett, associate professor at the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg, South Africa. Idai was followed by Kenneth, another category 4 cyclone that hit the border of Mozambique and Tanzania six weeks later. (Two severe tropical cyclones in one season is very unusual for the Mozambique Channel.)
Devastating tropical storms – like Cyclone Amphan- are increasing in both frequency and intensity due to climate change. Planning for extreme weather and other climate risk factors, and taking appropriate action, are needed to avoid a future tragedy like the one unfolding in Sundarban.
As scientists’ predictions of a climate emergency grow more urgent- and frankly bleak- the world would do well to heed their warnings. Yet it is always difficult to plan for futures that differ substantially from the recent past, and this is where a presentation of multiple future scenarios – underpinned by the latest climate science and wisdom of experts- can be tremendously useful. This is what riskthinking.AI offers