Back to Leadership

Roger Cooke


Roger Cooke received his BA (1968) and PhD (1974) from Yale University in Philosophy and Mathematics. He joined Resources for the Future in September 2005 as the first appointee to the Chauncey Starr Chair in Risk Analysis. He is recognized as one of the world’s leading authorities on mathematical modeling of risk and uncertainty, authoring 5 books and over 150 peer reviewed research articles. He introduced the classical model for structured expert judgment in 1991 and vine copula for modeling dependence in high dimensional distributions in 1997. His recent research has encompassed health risks from oil fires in Kuwait following the first Gulf War, chemical weapons disposal, nuclear risk, nitrogen oxide emissions, microbiological risk, future sea level rise from ice sheets and value of information from Earth observing systems.

Prior to joining RFF, Cooke was professor of applied decision theory at the Department of Mathematics at Delft University of Technology in The Netherlands where he launched a Risk and Environmental Modeling master’s program. He served as a consultant to the Japanese government on disposal of abandoned World War II chemical weapons in China and to the Swedish Nuclear Inspectorate on reliability of piping in nuclear power plants. He also has consulted with the Dutch National Aeronautics Laboratory, the Dutch Gasunie, the Dutch Institute for Public Health and Milieu, Sandia National Laboratories in New Mexico, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the German VGB Powertech Central Databank and the National Institute for Aerospace. He recently led a project to quantify the risk impact of new merging and spacing protocols for civil aviation, and was a lead author on the chapter Risk and Uncertainty in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Contact Us